2024-08-15


Horseshit


Rank Propaganda / Thought Policing / World Disordering

Religion / Tribal / Culture War and Re-Segregation

Edumacationalizing / Acedemia Nuts

Info Rental / ShowBiz / Advertising

Economicon / Business / Finance

Harris / TBA 2024 / Democrats Demonstrate "Our Democracy"

Biden Inc

  • Biden suggests he would attend a Trump inauguration, citing 'good manners'

  • Biden harbors lingering frustration at Pelosi, Obama, Schumer - POLITICO

    President Joe Biden is frustrated that Barack Obama wouldn’t tell him to his face that he should leave the race. He’s angry with Nancy Pelosi and views her as ruthless for ushering him out the door. And he’s still miffed at the role Chuck Schumer played, too. Biden has told his closest aides and associates that he is coming to terms with his decision to bow out of the presidential race last month, but still harbors some frustration toward the members of his own party he believes pushed him out, according to three people familiar with Biden’s thinking who are not authorized to speak publicly about private conversations.

Trump / Right / Jan6

  • Nikki Haley Pleads With Trump to Be Someone He Is Not

  • Trump to Musk: Climate change means 'more oceanfront property'

  • Why newsrooms haven’t published leaked Trump campaign documents - The Washington Post

    Over the past few weeks, reporters at Politico, The Washington Post and the New York Times received emails from a mysterious figure who called himself “Robert,” offering internal Trump campaign documents, most notably a 271-page one listing JD Vance’s potential vulnerabilities as a running mate, apparently compiled well before Trump picked the Republican senator from Ohio. The FBI is now investigating alleged Iranian hacking attempts, which also targeted the Biden-Harris campaign. Longtime Trump friend Roger Stone confirmed to The Post on Monday that his email account had been compromised. All of it — an alleged hacker hiding behind a pseudonym offering internal documents of questionable news value — has echoes of the Russian hacks of Democratic campaign emails in 2016, which were then published by WikiLeaks and eagerly picked over by the press.

    Journalists’ primary loyalty is to their audience and to giving them the information they want and need, said Kelly McBride, NPR’s public editor and chair of the Craig Newmark Center for Ethics and Leadership at the Poynter Institute. And before 2016, the general thinking was that, even with hacked materials, “if there’s something interesting in there, then of course you’re going to report it.” But with foreign state actors increasingly getting involved, “it just feels dicier for news organizations to make the decision, because you don’t want to be helping another country undermine our democracy,” McBride said. “The motivations don’t have to be pure, but it can’t be to undermine the stability of the entire country,” she added. “That just seems like a bridge too far.”

External Security / Militaria / Diplomania

  • U.S. Orders Submarine to Middle East Amid Fears of Escalation - The New York Times

    In an unusual disclosure, General Ryder said that Mr. Austin had ordered the ballistic-missile submarine Georgia to the Middle East. The Pentagon rarely announces the movements of its submarine fleet, underscoring the seriousness of the regional crisis. General Ryder noted that Mr. Austin had already ordered additional combat aircraft and missile-shooting warships to the region. The orders came in response to threats from Iran and its proxies in Gaza, Lebanon and Yemen to attack Israel to avenge the assassination of a top Hamas leader, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran on July 31.

    who is currently in charge over at the White House? Have we now reached such a post-Constitutional arrangement that that the major decisions of war and peace are being made by a military-intelligence complex beholden to no one?

World

Russia Bad / Ukraine War

  • Ukraine says its troops are advancing deeper into Russia's Kursk region

  • Nord Stream sabotage: Germany issues arrest warrant

    German authorities have issued an arrest warrant over the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines nearly two years ago, according to German news outlets ARD, Süddeutsche Zeitung and Die Zeit. In an investigation published Wednesday, the outlets reported that the suspect is a Ukrainian diving instructor, named only as Volodymyr Z. for privacy reasons. It is alleged he attacked the pipelines in tandem with at least two others, who are also believed to be Ukrainian citizens. The suspect was believed to last be living in Poland, but Polish authorities said they could not act on the warrant because he had left the country.

  • Kursk's Next Operational Phase - by Mick Ryan

    Option 1 for the Ukrainian OMG-K is to consolidate on the terrain they have seized so far and then defend it until some form of negotiation takes place. This is the highest risk option because, as the maps show, the Ukrainian dispositions feature multiple small salients which would be easily cut off and destroyed by even a semi-competant Russian commander. (Option 2 is hold a smaller area)

    The third option for Ukraine would be to fully withdraw back to the international border between Russia and Ukraine. This would permit Ukraine to maximise the political and strategic benefits of operation into Russia while preserving a large body of experienced combat troops that might be employed on subsequent offensive operations in 2024 and 2025. In essence, by choosing this option the Ukrainians would be messaging to the Russian people that “we can invade and hurt your country if we choose, but we have no wish to occupy our neighbours”. The political impact on Putin might be interesting. While the Ukrainian invasion may have proven his point to Russians about the ‘threat from NATO’, he also appears weak because he was not able to punish those who conducted the operation in Kursk.

    Ukraine’s operation in Russia might have surprised most observers of the war, and even the governments of their key supporters. But from Ukraine’s perspective, it appears to be a risk that has considerable up side if the operation succeeds. So far, it appears that taking a risk by not reinforcing their forces in the Donbas and using them in Kursk may be paying off for Ukraine. But, like all wars and military campaigns, predicting the future is impossible.

  • Russian navy trained to target sites inside Europe with nuclear-capable missiles

    Secret presentation for officers reveals plans for overwhelming strikes in early stages of potential war against Nato

    • I wonder what the NATO powerpoints for similar plans look like...

Environment / Climate / Green Propaganda

  • Unprecedented number of heat records broken around world this year

  • Scientists Drilled So Deep into the Earth, They Knocked on the Mantle's Door

  • The Top Five Climate Science Scandals

    That’s where climate science finds itself in 2024. Long time readers here at THB will know that climate change is real and poses risks. At the same time, the climate science community appears to have lost its collective ability to call out bad science and get things back on track. Today, particularly for the many new readers that THB has gained this year, I summarize the top 5 climate science scandals covered here at THB over the past few years.

    For more than a decade I have evaluated the so-called “billion dollar disaster” tabulation promoted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). I have watched it go from a clever marketing gimmick to NOAA”s leading scientific indicator representing climate change. The “dataset” employs methods that are not public and various versions of the tabulation includes entries and changes that are undocumented. I recently published a peer-reviewed paper documenting problems with the dataset and its complete intransparency. Despite the tabulation’s obvious flaws, it is a good example of bad science that is too big to fail.

    Extreme emissions scenarios that map out implausible and even apocalyptic futures are a favorite in climate research and assessment. This space continues to be dominated by a scenario called RCP8.5 — which has coal consumption increasing more than 10x by 2100 (see figure above and all credit to my colleague Justin Ritchie). However, as the community comes to accept the ridiculousness of RCP8.5, efforts are being made to replace it with another extreme scenario — Right now that appears to be SSP3-7.0 which also foresees a massive increase in coal (~6x) and a world of about 13 billion people in 2100, far more than projected by the United Nations.

  • Why wildfires are getting more dangerous

  • The Hidden Forests Inside China’s Deepest Sinkholes Are Unlike Anything on Earth

    “This indicates that the plants in the study area have the characteristics of low carbon sequestration, high nutrient accumulation, high growth rate, and low nutrient utilization efficiency,” the study authors added.

  • Shattered Wind Blade Puts Nantucket on Frontlines of a Clean-Energy Fight