2024-11-07
Martian power, vibe testing, fake truffles, Bitcoin booms, bettors made bux, Kamala blew it, voluminous volcanic liberal spew, DOJ to drop Trump cases, Fat Leonard gets 15yr, glassing Corning
etc
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In the US, per capita energy consumption is about 10 kW, with about 1.5 kW being used as electricity and 6.5 kW ending up as waste heat. If we want to close the entire Mars industrial stack with just a million people, on the surface of Mars, it is safe to assume at least a 10x increase in per capita productivity and energy consumption, so let’s baseline 100 kW per person.
Horseshit
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Civilian support for military coups isn't a bug – it's a feature
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Vibe Checks Are All You Need - by Daniel Olshansky
Quantitative benchmarks, evaluations, and verification are critical to the 1% tail-end, but a vibe check is the good enough solution. This is what most LLM developers and day-to-day but are afraid to admit due to the lack of rigour. At Twitter in 2014, our initial spam filtering algorithms relied on word matches manually curated based on the "that's not nice test." At Magic Leap in 2017, while building out one of the world’s earliest mixed reality experiences with spatial mapping and object recognition, the "that looks good test" often sufficed. At Waymo in 2020, I joined the planner eval team focused on evaluating risky autonomous vehicle interactions - we used the "that looks safe test" to build out a golden ground truth dataset.
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The truffle industry is a big scam. Not just truffle oil, everything
celebrity gossip
Rank Propaganda / Thought Policing / World Disordering
Musk
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Elon Musk’s Election Day X Posts: Trump Support and Conspiracy Theories - The New York Times
On Election Day, Elon Musk used his X account to encourage his 203 million followers to vote for Donald J. Trump. He also used it to stoke fears about election interference. Mr. Musk, one of Mr. Trump’s most vocal and wealthy supporters, has thrown the weight of his social media company and his wallet behind the former president. He’s given almost $120 million to the Trump campaign and posted incessantly about Mr. Trump in recent weeks.
Info Rental / ShowBiz / Advertising
TechSuck / Geek Bait
AI Will (Save | Destroy) The World
Crypto con games
Economicon / Business / Finance
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Google has no duty to refund gift card scam victims, judge finds
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US Government considering cash infusions, AMD merger to help struggling Intel
- for 20+ years, the purpose of Intel has been to suppress innovation; the tool is expended now. They gonna hafta do it direct.
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US Bond Yields Surge as Trump Win Stokes Inflation Expectations
Gubmint / Poilitcks / Law Making
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Colorado voters reject ranked choice voting, ban on hunting big cats.
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Florida: Marijuana amendment didn't pass. But it got more than 50%
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Polymarket Whales Cash In: Big Bets on Trump’s Victory Yield Millions in Profits - Ecoinimist
As of Nov. 4, one day before election day, over half of Donald Trump’s “Yes” shares on Polymarket were in the hands of five enigmatic whales. In comparison, shares for Vice President Kamala Harris are more evenly spread, with the top five shareholders owning only 18% of her “Yes” votes. The largest shareholder of Harris holds just 4.4%, while Trump’s leading shareholder commands 29.1%, Domer pointed out. The largest Trump-related betting account on Polymarket, referred to as “Theo4,” reportedly made over $20.4 million in profit from his pro-Trump wagers, based on information released by Lookonchain on Nov. 6.
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…and now we see what is possible | the singularity is nearer
In retrospect, I’m very impressed with how Elon did the Twitter transition, and I’m grateful to have had a front row seat to that history. It made me reconsider how power works. He has an army of competent lieutenants, and he tasked them with doing a variety of things. I regret not seriously trying to fix search, I didn’t really understand at the time what he was asking or why. I thought I was there to reverse engineer the mess of a codebase, while in reality just having people try to build features and seeing what breaks is a better strategy. I’m not very good at being a follower, I need to deeply understand why, and I’m sorry I didn’t until later.
It’s even possible that the Intelligence Agency Deep State shows up on your first day in the Oval Office, tells you who really runs things, and tells you what happens to you if you defy them. “Hello, we are the Deep State. Here are the bounds in which you can act. Step outside them, and we will kill you.” Which is another place the government differs from Twitter. As a state, they have a legitimate monopoly on violence, so is the deep state’s threat even wrong? “You just didn’t understand the President hasn’t actually been in charge for 60 years. Better for everyone that way. We have control of weapons that can end the world. We can’t trust something like that to the will of the people”
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Allan Lichtman fails to predict correct outcome of election
Allan Lichtman, the historian who predicted 9 of the 10 last elections, failed to accurately predict who voters would chose to become the 47th president of the United States. In a stunning political comeback, ex-President Donald Trump defeated Vice President and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris to reclaim the White House Tuesday night. "Right now after a very long night I am taking some time off to assess why I was wrong and what the future holds for America," Lichtman told USA TODAY Wednesday morning.
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Heading into Tuesday’s vote, a large majority of voters said that the country was on the wrong track and that they were disappointed with the candidates on offer. A plurality of voters said that regardless of who was elected, the next president would make things worse. Nearly 80 percent said the presidential campaigns did not make them proud of America. The blame for this grievous state of affairs lies with the Democratic and Republican Parties, both of which played a game of chicken with the electorate, relying on apocalyptic threats about the end of democracy to convince people that they had no choice but to vote as instructed. Both candidates offered up policies that were unpopular even among their supporters, serving a banquet for their donor classes while doling out junk food to their bases. For one candidate, that contemptuous strategy succeeded. But it fails the American people.
Harris / Democrats
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Kamala Harris made a historic dash for the White House. Here's why she fell short.
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When is Kamala Harris going to speak today?: – NBC New York
Former President Donald Trump is once again President-elect Donald Trump after becoming the projected winner in the 2024 presidential election over Vice President Kamala Harris. Harris did not speak to the supporters or the nation on Tuesday night as election results we coming in and the race had not been decided. Harris campaign co-chair Cedric Richmond said the vice president would not address supporters on Tuesday but that the nation could expect to here from her sometime Wednesday. NBC News does not have a definitive time yet when Vice President Kamala Harris will speak to the nation on Wednesday. The timing remains fluid, but there is an expectation she will address the nation today.
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Did Kamala Harris concede Trump victory?
With a win in Wisconsin, Trump cleared the 270 electoral votes needed to clinch the presidency. NBC News made the call around 5:30 a.m. Wednesday. As of 6:15 a.m., Kamala Harris had yet to concede. Harris is expected to concede in a national address later Wednesday. The timing wasn't immediately clear early.
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(video) Kamala Harris calls Trump to concede election | Fox News Video
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Harris has called Trump to concede the election | Just The News
Trump / Right / Jan6
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Donald Trump wins 2024 presidential election - POLITICO
Donald Trump has won the presidency, lurching America’s center of power to the right after defeating Kamala Harris in a tumultuous race that set the nation on edge — and that ultimately will make the 45th president the 47th, too. His return to power was fueled by widespread dissatisfaction with Washington and the state of the country, including with the rising cost of living, and by a campaign that demonized migrants and the U.S. justice system while rallying the working class and men.
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Trump Wins US Presidential Election in Extraordinary Comeback
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Donald Trump projected to become the 47th President of the United States
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Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency | Hacker News
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Watch Live: Republicans Take Senate As Trump Leads Across All Swing States | ZeroHedge
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What would Trump 2.0 mean for trade, migrants, climate change and electric cars?
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Trump and the World – What His Return Means for American Foreign Policy
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What is the Best-Case Scenario for a Trump Presidency?
The economy is strong and Trump has a significant opportunity to simply take credit for that if he avoids major disruptions. While he must fulfill some of his campaign promises, people voted for Trump not for his policies per se. Trump has leeway. No one will accuse him of flip-flopping. While these are not my first-best policies, Trump won against astounding media and elite opposition and an attempted assassination.
- the media refusal to talk about anything but "Trump is Hitler" doesn't mean he doesn't have policies or that people didn't listen to him when he spoke of them. People other than this asshole, that is.
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Musk to lead "a complete financial and performance audit of the entire US gov."
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How Donald Trump Won the 2024 Election | TIME
The consequences may be historic. Trump has dominated American politics for nine years now, and after four years of his tumultuous residency punctuated by an insurrection, the country chose to reinstall him. Trump campaigned on an authoritarian agenda that would upend America’s democratic norms, and he is already preparing to deliver on it: mass detention and deportations of migrants; revenge against political enemies via the justice system; deploying the military against his own civilians. How far he chooses to go with the power the public has handed him is a question that will shape the fate of the country. To the MAGA faithful, Trump’s victory is a thrilling vision coming into view. For the less fervent supporters who helped put him over the top, his rhetoric is largely bluster in service of reforming a government out of touch with America’s economic and social needs. To the rest of the country and much of the world, a second Trump term looks like a blow to democracy in the U.S. and beyond. That split screen will animate American discourse for the next four years. The nation is more polarized than at any point since the Civil War. But soon, there will be at least one thing that binds us all together: Come Jan. 20, we will all be living in Trump’s America.
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Hispanic men helped propel Donald Trump back to the White House
Pre-election polling suggested that Donald Trump had made substantial inroads with Hispanic voters across the country. Partial results suggest this swing has materialised, helping to push the former president over the line in battleground states. And while Hispanic voters as a whole have swung away from Democrats—along with voters of all ethnicities—his gains were particularly concentrated among Hispanic men.
American politics has realigned along social and cultural lines, making religion and education crucial demographic variables. These characteristics divide Hispanic voters just as they do the rest of the country. Another explanation is that Hispanic voters are more likely than other groups to say the economy is their most important issue, favourable territory for Mr Trump. These explanations can also account for the fact that Hispanic voters are not moving towards the Republican Party at one pace. CNN’s exit poll finds a dramatic widening of the gender gap among Hispanic voters. Hispanic men have swung from voting for Mr Biden by 23 percentage points in 2020 to voting for Mr Trump by ten points this year. Hispanic women, by contrast, voted for Ms Harris by 24 points. While men of all ethnicities were more likely to vote for Mr Trump, the widening gender gap among Hispanic voters may indicate divides over issues such as abortion.
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The Trump Trades Worked - Bloomberg
What is the Trump Media and Technology Group trade? Trump Media, which is usually called by its ticker, DJT, is the social media and streaming video company with Donald Trump’s name on it; he owns about 52.9% of the stock. Its main product is Truth Social, Trump’s social media site. With incredible timing, DJT announced third-quarter earnings yesterday; it lost $19.2 million on $1 million of revenue. That revenue is down 6% year-over-year and also, I mean, the social media site owned and used by the voluble winning candidate in a US presidential election managed to make $1 million of advertising revenue in the summer leading up to that election? Recently Elon Musk has been paying $1 million per day to individual pseudorandom voters to advertise for Trump, but somehow Truth Social only sold $1 million of ads between July 1 and Sept. 30.
Anyway DJT’s market capitalization was about $7.4 billion at yesterday’s close, and it’s up this morning. What makes it worth more than $7 billion?
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What a Trump Victory Means for Tech - The New York Times
Another Trump presidency will be good for crypto and Elon Musk, but every big tech company may not benefit from a more hands-off approach to antitrust.
If Mr. Trump appoints Mr. Musk to an official position in the new administration — he’s suggested he might put him in charge of a new “department of government efficiency” that would cut the federal work force — Mr. Musk will be in the enviable position of getting to pick who regulates his companies, including Tesla and SpaceX. He could also try to fire anyone who gets in his way. Or he could do to government workers what he did to Twitter, ordering huge layoffs and keeping only the ones he deems loyal. In any case, it’s all upside for Mr. Musk, whose $44 billion purchase of Twitter and the money he spent getting Mr. Trump elected now look like chump change, compared to the value of the influence he’ll wield in the new administration.
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Trump’s Victory Is a Major Win for Elon Musk and Big-Money Politics - The New York Times
here is little doubt that the election was a win not only for Mr. Musk but also big-money politics: An ultrawealthy donor took advantage of America’s evolving campaign-finance system to put his thumb on the scale like never before. Mr. Musk almost single-handedly funded an effort that cost more than $175 million. His canvassers knocked on close to 11 million doors in presidential battleground states since August, including about 1.8 million in Michigan and 2.3 million in Pennsylvania, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Another $30 million was spent on a large direct-mail program, and about $22 million on digital advertising, including on Trump-friendly mediums like Barstool Sports.
- see also "Kamla raised Billion with a B" stories last month.
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Finally, Trump Wins Beyond The Margin Of Fraud « Lawrence Person's BattleSwarm Blog
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Bill Barr urges prosecutors to drop charges against Donald Trump post-election win
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Project 2025 Plan for Trump Presidency Has Far-Reaching Threats to Science
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Shelley Luther, former Dallas salon owner jailed during COVID-19, wins in TX House Dist. 62